What is Understanding Bond Duration?
Duration is a critical fixed-income metric that measures a bond's price sensitivity to interest rate changes. It is fundamentally different from a bond's chronological 'time to maturity.' While maturity tells you when the principal is repaid, duration calculates the weighted average time it takes to receive all of the bond's cash flows.
Mathematical Foundation
Laws & Principles
- The See-Saw Rule: Bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions. The Modified Duration explicitly predicts this: If a bond has a Modified Duration of 7 years, a 1% increase in prevailing interest rates will cause the bond's price to instantly fall by approximately 7%.
- Zero-Coupon Bounds: For a zero-coupon bond, the Macaulay Duration is always exactly equal to its time to maturity because there are no interim cash flows to pull the weighted average backward.
Step-by-Step Example Walkthrough
" You evaluate a 10-year bond with a $1,000 face value, paying a 5% coupon semi-annually. The current market Yield to Maturity (YTM) is 6%. "
- 1. Since YTM (6%) > Coupon (5%), the bond prices at a discount. PV calculates to $925.61.
- 2. The algorithm weights the present value of all 20 cash-flow payments (19 distinct $25 payments, 1 final $1,025 payment) by their respective time horizons, summing to a weighted numerator of ~7.23.
- 3. Divide by the total bond price to get a Macaulay Duration of 7.82 years.
- 4. Adjust for semi-annual compounding to find the Modified Duration: 7.82 / (1 + 0.03) = 7.59 years.