What is Startup Burn Rate & Runway?
Burn Rate measures how quickly an unprofitable company is spending its venture capital to finance overhead before generating positive cash flow from operations. It is paired with "Runway" — the amount of time in months before the company goes bankrupt if revenue and expenses stay constant.
Mathematical Foundation
Laws & Principles
- The 18-Month Rule: When raising a seed or Series A round, VCs typically want to see that the capital injected will give you at least 18 months of runway. It takes an average of 6 months just to close a fundraising round, meaning you must start pitching when you hit 12 months.
- Default Alive vs Default Dead: Coined by Paul Graham, a startup is 'Default Alive' if its current growth rate will allow it to reach profitability before running out of cash. It is 'Default Dead' if it will hit zero before current growth reaches profitability, meaning a future fundraise is mandatory.
Step-by-Step Example Walkthrough
" A seed-stage SaaS startup has $1,000,000 in the bank. They spend $150,000/month on salaries and tools but generate $50,000/month in early subscription revenue. "
- Net Burn: $150,000 - $50,000 = $100,000 per month
- Runway: $1,000,000 / $100,000 = 10.0 Months