What is Fibonacci Retracement Theory?
Mathematical Foundation
Laws & Principles
- The Golden Ratio (61.8%): Derived by dividing a number by the next number in the infinite Fibonacci sequence (e.g., 55 ÷ 89 ≈ 0.618). In trading psychology, the 61.8% pullback is considered the ultimate 'line in the sand'. If price breaks completely through the 61.8% level, the original trend is typically considered dead or reversed.
- The Synthetic Midpoint (50.0%): Technically, 50% is not a pure Fibonacci number. However, it is fundamentally included in all trading software because of 'Dow Theory', which mathematically established decades ago that markets naturally rest at the 50% halfway point of any major swing.
Step-by-Step Example Walkthrough
" Tesla stock explodes from $100 to $200 over a few weeks. It is now pulling back to catch its breath. Where should a day trader place their limit buy orders to enter the uptrend? "
- Total Swing Difference: $200 (High) - $100 (Low) = $100 Move.
- The 38.2% Shallow Pullback: $200 - ($100 × 0.382) = $161.80.
- The 50.0% Reversion: $200 - ($100 × 0.500) = $150.00.
- The 61.8% Golden Ratio: $200 - ($100 × 0.618) = $138.20.