What is Iron Condor Margin & Probability Engineering?
Mathematical Foundation
Laws & Principles
- Single-Side Margin: A stock cannot crash through your put floor AND rocket through your call ceiling simultaneously. Brokerages only require margin for one side (the wider wing), making Iron Condors highly capital-efficient compared to naked positions.
- Strike Ordering Rule: Valid Iron Condor strikes must follow: Long Put < Short Put < Short Call < Long Call. Violating this order creates undefined-risk positions or entirely different strategies.
- Theta as the Profit Engine: Maximum profit occurs when all four options expire worthless — the stock stayed within the range. Time decay (Theta) is your ally here, eroding the value of the options you sold every single day.
Step-by-Step Example Walkthrough
" Stock XYZ trades at $100. You sell the 95/90 Put spread and the 105/110 Call spread, collecting $2.50 total net premium. You trade 10 contracts. "
- Max Profit: $2.50 × 100 × 10 = $2,500 upfront credit.
- Wing widths: Put wing = $95 − $90 = $5. Call wing = $110 − $105 = $5. Both equal.
- Max Risk per share: $5.00 − $2.50 = $2.50.
- Total Max Risk: $2.50 × 100 × 10 = $2,500.
- Breakevens: Lower = $95 − $2.50 = $92.50. Upper = $105 + $2.50 = $107.50.