What is Averaging Down (and Up) — Weighted Average Cost Basis?
Mathematical Foundation
Laws & Principles
- Averaging Down Risk (Catching a Falling Knife): Buying more shares as price falls lowers your break-even, but also increases total capital at risk. If the stock continues falling, losses compound. Averaging down is only rational when you have strong fundamental conviction the stock is temporarily mispriced — not simply because 'it's even cheaper now.'
- Tax Lot Tracking (FIFO vs Specific ID): Your brokerage shows one average price, but the IRS tracks each purchase lot separately by date and price. When selling, you can choose to sell specific lots (Specific ID method) to optimize realized gains/losses. Default method is usually FIFO (First In, First Out), which may not be tax-optimal.
Step-by-Step Example Walkthrough
" Bought 100 shares of XYZ at $50. Stock drops to $40. You buy 100 more shares. "
- Original cost: 100 x $50 = $5,000.
- New purchase cost: 100 x $40 = $4,000.
- Total capital: $5,000 + $4,000 = $9,000.
- Total shares: 100 + 100 = 200.
- New average cost: $9,000 / 200 = $45.00.